Archive for the ‘Society and Government’ Category

Diagnosing America’s Society
The Haves and Have Nots

Wednesday, August 5th, 2009

Many think modern American society and its economy is sick, ill, and broken. I continually hear about the divide between the Haves and the Have Nots. Is our society really sick, and if so, whats to blame? Lets see if we can make a diagnosis of the real problem.

Some people like to talk about the Haves versus the Have Nots. While there is truth to this classification, it is not the whole truth. It is a symptom, not a disease itself. In reality, there is also the Can Dos versus the Can’t Dos, the Able Class versus the Unable Class and the Want to Do versus the Don’t Want to Do classes.

In discussing the Haves, we must ask why there is a class of people who seem to have plenty and the opposite class which seems to have little. Also, why is the Have Not class increasing. This cannot be done honestly without discussing the Cans and Can’ts.

In any society, some people have more value to that society than others. While some think they can legislate a person’s value to society through welfare payments and minimum wage laws; in fact that is erroneous thinking. Only society can determine the worth of the value of functions and vocations and an individuals worth to it. If an attempt to make some job more valuable through legislation occurs, it can only end in failure if society as a whole does not see any value to that job. In the end, those jobs disappear. How many buggy whip makers do you see around you? How many lawn cutters do we need? How many window washers? Only society as a whole working through the economy can make these decisions, and government can not decide. Society makes these judgments every day by its choices in what it buys and what it doesn’t.

Most people seem to think that they get paid for putting in the hours for their labor. At one time this was mostly true. Just 100 years ago, 90% of the population of the USA were farm laborers. It is not true any more. In actuality, people draw a salary for a combination of 4 basic things: Labor, Creativity, Knowledge (skill), and Risk taking. However, the advent of the machine age has replaced much of the need for actual labor, and increased the need for knowledge and creativity. Of course this creates a problem of what to do with all the people in society who are not creative, do not have any specialized knowledge, and are only capable of physical labor, and to a lesser degree, people who cannot contribute any of these commodities at all. While technology has changed the relationships between Labor, Creativity, Knowledge and Risk; it has done little to change the capabilities of the populace in general.

There are those who think the answer is more education, making people more knowledgeable. The Ph.Ds who are flipping burgers at Mickey D’s will tell you that there is a limited demand for knowledge, and simply having a better degree does not guarantee that the recipient will have any more value to society. In fact, the more education you have in a specific area, the fewer are the chances of actually being employed in that area. Look through the help wanted sections of any newspaper or a job site like Monster.com and note how many job openings there are for Psychiatrists, or Philosophers, or Chemists. Compared to the size of the population, not very many.

Suppose everyone was actually able to obtain at least a bachelor’s degree. Would this create additional jobs, or increase the value of those jobs to society? Doubtful at best. It would disappoint a lot of graduates though who believed they were going to get the cream of the jobs only to find out that they were not.

Then of course, there is a pretty large segment of the population who simply are not capable of higher education endeavors even if handed to them. A large portion of the population is below average in intelligence, and this fact must be realized. I do not say this to degrade anyone, its just the way it is.

That leaves creativity. Can creativity be learned? My experience says no, but maybe the right techniques have not been discovered yet. Bill Gates of Microsoft fame got where he is because he is a very creative individual, not just because he worked 18 hours a day.

As a result of a large segment of the population believing they are simply entitled to whatever they want, government has tried to oblige by mandating welfare and minimum wage standards. This has resulted in the Can Do class of people who are capable of and engaged in supplying the wealth of the country to become disheartened and angry. The Doers of society rightly feel that they should not have to support every one else. In fact, they have become slaves themselves to the Can’t Dos and Don’t Want to Dos. What often happens is that the Doers just decide not to DO as much as they could, as there is little point to it. Consequently, the Doers use their creativity to find ways to avoid having to support the Can’t Dos and Don’t Want to Dos. Creative people are quite good at finding ways to beat the system.

In its proper role, the purpose of any economy is to assist the survival of its individuals by allowing them to contribute to others in their own way and in so doing, earn their own survival. Hunters hunt, gatherers gather, farmers farm, welders weld, and each trades a portion of his work for what he cannot do himself. It allows us to contribute to the whole through specialization. But what do we do with people who have nothing valuable to contribute? This is the real Have Not, and Can’t Do problem. Further still, we live in a time where technology has increased the productivity of the Doers to the point that we need less of them to supply us with the essentials of life.

Basically, a large portion of humans are simply obsolete. How do we achieve the goal of retrofitting tens of millions people out of obsolescence?

In order to build a better America, this is the problem which must be solved. It cannot be solved by mandate. It cannot be solved by legislation. It cannot be solved by ignoring this root problem. We must solve it soon, or nature will solve it for us.

A little wisdom

Monday, June 29th, 2009

Adrian Rogers

“You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity. What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving. The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else. When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and when the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is the beginning of the end of any nation. You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it.”*

This is so self evident, but yet we never seem to get it. If it were possible to tax a nation into prosperity, North Korea, Cuba, the Soviets, and all the other highly socialized countries would be wealthy beyond imagination. But yet, we think it will work here. I have news, it won’t. We are rapidly sliding into 3rd world nation status because Americans no longer feel the need to be self sufficient, and have lost the work ethic. Americans expect someone else to work and pay. This is the heart of socialism.

Socialism leads only to slavery, servitude, and poverty. Is this what you really want?

Benedict Arlen

Saturday, May 2nd, 2009

I understand why Arlen Specter switched partys: he was about to lose his job. He knew Pat Toomey would likely kick his ass in the upcoming election. I get it.

What I don’t get is his excuse. Specter says he is leaving the Republican party because it has been hijacked by the far right. If that is his reason, then, its logically inconsistent. The Democratic party has been hijacked also, by the far left. If this was a moral choice, Specter would have toughed it out with the people who elected him, or would have bowed out of politics.

No, the real reason is that he values his job and power over his duty.

Good riddance Sen. Specter, and my condolences to the Democratic party. Traitors never work out well.

Flying Pig Flu

Wednesday, April 29th, 2009

I have been following the news about Swine Flu all week, and I have to ask myself, whats this all about? It seems that this flu might have been engineered in a laboratory, as it is a combination of swine, avian and human flu strains. Its hard to imagine how such could happen in nature.

Some reports from Mexico said the death rate was 2 out of 10, 20%, and the news made this sound very high and alarming. Well, thats what sells news isn’t it?

According to the Centers for Disease Control, 200,000 Americans contract flu each year, and on average, 36,000 people die of flu and its complications. So, lets see, less than a hundred confirmed cases of this Swine Flu, and normal flu cases are 200,000. 20% death rate reported, and average is 18% for ordinary flu strains.

Maybe we are overreacting a little. But the bigger question is: “Why is our attention diverted to this flu, and what else is going on that we are not supposed to see?

The World Plus 5%
Why Growth Cannot Be Sustained

Monday, April 20th, 2009

Normally, I write my own articles. However, I have found a great article by Larry Hannigan that I feel everyone should read.

The origins of our current economic/political situation date back to 1694 when The Bank of England was created. King William of Orange was in financial difficulties as a result of a war with France. The Goldsmiths “lent him” 1.2 million pounds (a staggering amount in those days) with certain conditions:

1. The interest rate was to be 8%. It must be remembered that Magna Carta stated that the charging or collecting of interest was a serious crime.
2. The King was to grant the goldsmiths a charter for the bank which gave them the right to issue or create credit out of nothing. Prior to this, their operations of issuing receipts for more money than they held in deposits was totally illegal. The charter made it legal.

In 1694 William Patterson obtained the Charter for the Bank of England.

Larry Hannigan’s fable illustrates the evolution of banking and power since that time, from a simple barter system to the Fractional Reserve banking which enslaves us today.

Please take the time and CLICK HERE to read Hannigan’s story on his website.

Thanks.

The Upside Down Country

Friday, April 17th, 2009

The USA was founded with a government composed of three branches, each designed to keep the other two in check.  The Congress or legislative branch composed of the House and the Senate was given the task of formulating law, regulating the money supply, and raising revenue.  The House of Representatives was supposed to represent the people, and the Senate was supposed to represent the States.  The Executive branch consisting of the President and Vice-President, was given the task of commanding the Army, and providing for the execution of laws passed by Congress.  The Judicial branch consisting of the Supreme Court was tasked with being the final arbiter of what is right and lawful.  That was then.

The Senate’s role changed however with the passage of the 17th Amendment to the Constitution.  The purpose of the Senate was to represent the State as a whole and protect the rights of the individual states.  Originally, Senators were appointed by each State’s government.  However, the 17th Amendment, ratified in 1913, changed that to direct election of Senators by the voting population of the State.  The result has been a major erosion of states rights over the last century.  The founding fathers envisioned the states as being the major power structures, not the Federal government.  This has been debated over the decades of course, but its easy to see that individual states have mostly lost their sovereignty to the Feds.

The duties, obligations, and powers belonging to the House and Senate are well described in the Constitution, and limits of power were set on each body.  Likewise, Presidential powers and limits were spelled out describing those actions which the Federal government was allowed to do and which they were not.   For instance, the House of Representatives is charged with the responsibility for the budget, and regulating the value of the currency.  These stipulations created a balance of power within government so as to prevent any one branch from becoming all powerful.

But now, everything seems upside down.  Instead of the House representing the people, it seems to be representing the President.  That is not their job, and it is not the President’s job to make law.  Nowhere was this more apparent than when the Congress recently considered amnesty for illegal aliens.  The people bombarded Congress asking them to say NO to amnesty, with public sentiment showing 74% of the populace against amnesty yet Congress completely ignored  the people whom it is charged with representing. Recently, it seems Congress has turned a deaf ear to the populace, and listens only  to the President.

Government has only a few basic actions it can take.  It can spend money, levy a tax, or create a law.  These actions then become all important, and should not be taken without proper knowledge of the issues, and proper debate with input from the populace.  When the Congress becomes a rubber stamp for the President, this does not happen, and the people whom the government is supposed to represent are locked out of the process.

In matters of the budget, the President has no Constitutional authority to draft a budget for the country, yet every president does so.  It is the House’s responsibility to regulate and control the value of our money, but they have abnegated their responsibility letting the Federal Reserve Bank take charge.  Most of the people in Congress probably cannot even balance a checkbook let alone the Federal Budget and few seem to understand the simplest basic principles of the economy.   The House and Senate have acquiesced to just about every demand made by the President and ignored the general input of the electorate.  The bank bailout was a good example.  This has set up a defacto dictatorship.  The balance of power so thoughtfully worked out by the founding fathers is now broken.

Congress routinely passes legislation without even knowing what they are voting on.  From an outsiders view, they vote on the title of the bill instead of whats in it, which is sometimes much different.  How many in Congress actually read the original Patriot act before voting on it?  How many congressmen read the entire 1000 pages of the economic stimulus package?  Here’s what John Boehner had to say about it:

“The reason for passing legislation we don’t understand is because we passed legislation we didn’t read,” said Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.).  “Who knew what and when did they know it?” House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) demanded on the floor. “This language was air-dropped into a conference that occurred behind closed doors involving very few members.”

This inversion of representation did not happen overnight, and probably goes back to 1913 with the creation of the private banking system which was misnamed the Federal Reserve Act.  At that point, Congress gave up its role in the issuance of currency and the regulation of its value.  As a result, bankers are now in control of the country.   Its an example of the golden rule: He who has the gold rules.

1913 seems to have been a very bad year for the country with the 17th amendment, creation of the Federal Reserve, and passage of the 16th amendment allowing the creation of the personal income tax.  We should have skipped 1913 and gone directly to 1914!

So, We The People are essentially left without effective representation, and stuck with a government that is essentially upside down.  I fear for my country, while hoping that everything turns out right.  I wish I could suggest a solution, but alas I cannot.  Maybe if I stand on my head, it will look right again.

As a result of this inversion, we have lost much of our freedoms.  We live in a time where asking our government to do the right thing tags us as an enemy of the state instead of being a co-creator of a better country.  We live in a time where fear is winning out over reason.  We live in a time where the country is terribly divided when we should be coming together to create a better tomorrow.  We live in a time where science has become politicized.  We live in a time where State’s Rights are being squashed by the Federal government.

This is not a Democrat vs Republican issue, or a Liberal vs Conservative issue.  This is a creeping disease which has infested the entire Federal government, and will eventually kill our country,

It is my hope that reason wins out.  In the end, we all want the same thing, a better America, peace, prosperity, freedom,  justice,  and security; the principles this country was founded on. At least I hope that’s what we all want.

The question is: Will the America we love and fought for still be here tomorrow?

The Screwing We Get For the Screwing We Got
Why Social Security Is a Bad Investiment

Thursday, April 9th, 2009

I was thinking about  Social Security today, and how it is a colossal rip-off for many people.

People do not generally recognize what a bad investment SS is because of the varying relationship of the dollar to wealth.  The government loves inflation as it is a tax which does not have to be voted on and inflation alters that money to wealth relationship.  To really evaluate an investment, it needs to be done in terms other than the dollar.  The Consumer Price Index should fill that bill, but the numbers have been fudged to make the inflation rate look smaller and government policy look better.  President Clinton had the formulas and procedures changed.  If the original formulas and procedures are used, the  CPI is almost twice as high as is now reported!   Because of this, the CPI cannot be used to determine the true relationship between money and wealth.

Money is not wealth.  Its wealth we want and need to sustain ourselves, not money.  We need to look at the situation in terms of wealth, and that means something tangible, and that retains the same importance to society over the time period to be examined.

Lets look at a real life example of another professional engineer, who I will call Bob.

Starting working as an engineer in 1968, Bob’s SS payments were about $10001.  That same year, Bob bought a new Chevy Camaro RallySport at a cost of $3000.  Using the Camaro as a standard unit of wealth over time, the $1000 represented 1/3rd of a Camaro.  Over Bob’s working career his salary increased, and so did the cost of a Camaro, and his SS payment was always very close to 1/3rd of a new Camaro.  So during Bob’s  working career he will have essentially paid 14 Chevy Camaros into SS.

I could have used some other standard unit of wealth for this analysis, like the price of a gallon of milk, or the price of a pair of jeans, but the automobile represents a fairly constant unit of wealth.

Now that I have an idea what Bob will have invested into SS in terms of tangible wealth, lets see what he will get back.

According to his latest SS statement, Bob will get $1900 a month, and according to the actuarial data Bob will live to be 75.4 (He hopes longer!)  This means he can expect to draw SS for about 9 years.  Doing the math, 9 years of SS equals $205,000.  So the question becomes, will Bob get back his 14 Camaros worth of wealth?  Chevrolet reintroduced the Camaro, and at today’s prices the more or less equivalent model to the one I am using as a wealth standard would cost about $30,000.  Based on that, 14 Camaros would cost $420,000.  Therefore, Bob will be losing the equivalent of $215,000.  But Wait, There’s More!  Bob will probably have to pay income tax on that, so lets assume a modest tax rate of 15%.  Losing the tax money would cost Bob another $45,000 bringing his amount down to $160,000.  Essentially, Bob lost 8.6 of his Camaros; a loss of 59% of the wealth he contributed to SS.

Suppose Bob had taken the money he was required to invest in SS, and instead had deposited it in ordinary certificates of deposit at 5% interest and assume an income tax rate of 20% . According to my spreadsheet program he would have $400,000 in the bank at the end of 2008.  How many Camaros is that?  13!  So instead of ending up with 13 Camaros by investing his money privately, Bob ends up with 6.

Even though Bob is likely to get more money out of SS than he put in, he will only get a fraction of the amount of wealth invested in SS.  Where does the rest go?  It goes to illegal aliens, others who invested nothing in the system and a long list of other government projects having nothing to do with Social Security.

In actual fact the situation is probably even worse.  Bob, you and the rest of us will end up with a lot less as we head into a time in which rampant hyperinflation is likely to happen.  I’m sure that in 2011, a Camaro if such exists will not cost $30,000.    It will cost a lot more.

Never say the government is not efficient.  They are very efficient at taking your wealth while at the same time giving you more money.  Is it any wonder then that the gov hates the idea of privatizing SS?  With privatization, you risk losing some of your wealth.  With the current system, you are guaranteed to lose a large portion of your wealth.

If nothing more, I hope I have given Bob and you a different way to think about money and wealth.

1) This includes the portion paid for by the employer, which is part of a workers salary.

2012 and the Mayans

Friday, January 9th, 2009

This week seems to be armageddon week on The History Channel, and a common theme is the end of the Mayan calendar at December 21, 2012, 11:11am GMT.

The Mayans used several different calendars for different purposes, but the one being talked about is called the Long Count Calendar which basically divides a 5125 year period into several smaller units. The 5125 year cycle is about 1/5th of the time it takes for the earth to precess one time on its axis; that is, the time to transit all 13 of the Zodiac signs. (Yes, there are 13)1.

Each 5125 years represented an Age of mankind and was built up of smaller units.

A Uinal was a period of 20 days.
18 Uinals made up a Tun or period of 360 days.
20 Tuns were known as a Katun, and was approximately 20 years.
20 Katuns were known as a Baktun, or a period of approximately 394 years.
And finally, 13 Baktuns constituted a Mayan Age of 5125 years.

Now, in our calendar, the year ends on December 31, but that doesn’t mean the world ends just because our calendar does. We simply start over on January 1. Likewise, the end of the Mayan calendar does not mean the sun will not rise on December 22, 2012. The calendar will start over. (There are a lot of myths concerning the end of the age however).

One of the problems with the Mayan calendar was that of correlating it to our modern calendar. That was solved when there was a celestial event consisting of a total eclipse of the sun which was recorded by the Mayans and corresponds to our calendar date of July 6, 790AD. This fixes the relationship between the two calendars such that this current Mayan Age began on August 13, 3114BC.

If the Mayans were correct in equating 5125 years as an identifiable ‘Age’, then history should reflect this as true.

Jose Arguelles wrote:

“August 13, 3113 BC is as precise and accurate as one can get for a beginning of history: the first Egyptian dynasty is dated to ca 3100 BC; the first ‘city,’ Uruk, in Mesopotamia, also ca 3100 BC; the Hindu Kali Yuga, 3102 BC; and most interestingly, the division of time into 24 hours of 60 minutes each and each minute into 60 seconds [and the division of the circle into 360 degrees], also around 3100 BC, in Sumeria. If the beginning of history was so accurately placed, then must not the end of history, December 21, 2012 also be as accurate?”

Notice the discrepancy of one year from 3114 to 3113? This has been a common error stemming from the fact that there was no year zero. 3114 BC is actually the year -3113, but no matter, his observation is accurate.

If the Mayans are right, we should see some evidence that historical periods are reflected in the structure of Mayan timekeeping. Tortuga.com has a good graphic to illustrate the relationship of historical periods to the Mayan calendar.

While I do not know for sure what will happen on Dec 21, 2012; I do know from simple observations that the world is changing fast. Some think we will have a monumental instantaneous lifting of our consciousness, while others think we will be destroyed. Perhaps both are true.

1) The Real Zodiac

Obama Says US Needs To Act Quickly

Saturday, January 3rd, 2009

Obama says the US needs to act quickly in the economic crisis. He says unemployment may exceed 10%. Its probably already over 10% because the official unemployment figures are totally false. They only count the people who are receiving unemployment payments; but once a person’s unemployment runs out, they are no longer counted as unemployed.

No one in the government seems willing to call a spade a spade and say that we are in the beginnings of a depression, but that’s what it is.

Recession and depressions are caused by the same thing. People stop buying goods and services. In any economy, it is production which provides jobs and income for people. When people stop buying, there is no point in producing, so people get layed off or their hours get reduced. When that happens people have less money to spend, and therefore buy even less. Its a vicious cycle.

What starts the downward spiral? The immediate cause is any event which causes the population to reduce its spending, like a sudden loss of wealth (housing bubble popping), a disruption in availability of resources (like an oil shortage), a natural disaster displacing a large number of people cutting off their income, or a large scale terrorist attack like 911 which through fear caused people to stop their normal spending, and finally, tax increases which reduce the spending power of the populace.

Government handouts to banks, and car makers, and insurance companies, and retailers do nothing to stop the cycle, as they do not address the basic problem of the population not buying goods. In fact they eventually make it worse because the government taxes people more to pay for their handouts. New York State is a good example with their announcement of 88 new taxes in place for 2009 so the government itself can go on wasting taxpayer money even when the taxpayers have less of it to spend themselves.

Handouts and stimulus packages will have even less effect now than they did during the great depression, because so much of the industry that supplies peoples needs have left our country and now reside in Asia. An economic stimulus package now will help China more than it will the US. Give every taxpayer $1000 to spend and watch the parking lot at Wally World fill up as people rush to buy all those Chinese goods. Once the money fills the cash registers, we are no better off than before. Any country that cannot produce the essentials of life for its own people cannot remain a First World Country.

What we need is incentives to bring back our manufacturing to our own shores, and provide jobs for our own people. We need jobs and industries that produce wealth, and that means manufacturing. Washing each others windows does not create wealth. We need legislation that encourages new manufacturing, and enables them to be competitive on the world market. Otherwise, the downward spiral will continue for years to come. Other things may work short term, but if America is to remain a country of wealth, it must regain its manufacturing base.

I doubt that any of our government leaders will do anything useful to save our economy. What they will do is protect themselves while trying to make the public believe they are working to solve our problems. Well, buying that line is the one thing which will not save our economy. I’m not buying it, and neither should anyone else.

Happy New Year 2009

Sunday, December 28th, 2008

Happy New Year everyone.  But did you know that New Year used to be on March 1?  That explains why the extra day for leap year is added at the end of February; it used to be the last day of the year.

Also, that would explain why September (Latin for seven is septem) is now the 9th month, October (Latin for eight is octo) is the 10th month,  November (Latin for nine is novem) is the 11th month, and finally, December (Latin for 10 is decem) is the 12th month.

Originally, there were only 10 months in the Roman calendar, and each month had 30 or 31 days giving a calendar year 304 days.  I guess the Romans did not like winter very much, so they just left 61 days of winter out of the calendar!

It wasn’t until 753bc that the Roman ruler Numa Pontilius added Ianuarius (January) and Februarius (February) to the calendar finally including the winter days offically as part of the year.  Personally, I wouldn’t mind skipping over January and February and going straight to March.

So Happy New Year everyone!